Week 6 College Scouting (Giants)

As usual, scouting data from NFLDraftPro.com, player data from NFLDraftScout.com, and TV info from LSUFootball.net.

Away Team	Home Team	TV	TIME
Connecticut	Rutgers	ESPNU	12:00 PM
Illinois	Wisconsin	ABC/ESPN2	3:30 PM
Florida St	NC State	ESPN2	8:00 PM
Nebraska	Ohio St	ABC	8:00 PM

 Player data after the jump.

Week 4 College Scouting (Giants)

As always Scouting Information taken from NFLDraftPro.com, Player Information taken from NFLDraftScout.com, and TV Info taken from LSUSports.net

Week	Away Team	Home Team	TV	TIME
4	Army	Wake Forest	MY20	12:00 PM
4	Miami (FL)	Georgia Tech	CSN	3:00 PM
4	Missouri	South Carolina	CBS	3:30 PM
4	East Carolina	North Carolina	ESPNU	3:30 PM
4	South Alabama	Mississippi State	ESPN3	7:00 PM
4	Alcorn State	Arkansas State	ESPN3	7:00 PM

Top 20 Players to watch:

Rank	Player	Pos.	Pos. Rank	School	Class	Ht.	Wt.	Proj. Round
21	Johnthan Banks	CB	3	Mississippi State	Sr	6-1	185	1
27	Sylvester Williams	DT	4	North Carolina	Sr	6-3	320	1-2
30	*Marcus Lattimore	RB	1	South Carolina	Jr	6-0	220	1-2
43	Jonathan Cooper	OG	3	North Carolina	rSr	6-3	310	2
49	Brennan Williams	OT	6	North Carolina	Sr	6-7	315	2
63	Kevin Reddick	ILB	3	North Carolina	Sr	6-2	240	2
85	*Gabe Jackson	OG	5	Mississippi State	rJr	6-4	320	3
102	Josh Boyd	DT	10	Mississippi State	Sr	6-3	300	3-4
113	*Giovani Bernard	RB	9	North Carolina	rSo	5-10	205	3-4
115	Zaviar GoodenInjured	OLB	11	Missouri	rSr	6-2	230	3-4
120	Devin Taylor	DE	15	South Carolina	rSr	6-7	267	3-4
129	Omoregie Uzzi	OG	7	Georgia Tech	rSr	6-3	302	4
131	*Seantrel Henderson	OT	12	Miami (Fla.)	Jr	6-8	340	4
134	DeVonte Holloman	OLB	13	South Carolina	Sr	6-2	241	4
145	D.J. Swearinger	FS	7	South Carolina	Sr	5-11	210	4-5
147	*Jeremiah Attaochu	OLB	15	Georgia Tech	Jr	6-2	240	4-5
156	*James Hurst	OT	14	North Carolina	Jr	6-6	310	5
170	Rod Sweeting	CB	21	Georgia Tech	Sr	5-11	184	5-6
174	T.J. Johnson	C	4	South Carolina	rSr	6-5	318	5-6
204	Cameron Lawrence	OLB	20	Mississippi State	Sr	6-2	230	6
210	T.J. Moe	WR	26	Missouri	Sr	5-11	200	6-7

Hit the jump for prospects by school.

Top 12 Prospects for Week 3

Rank	Player	Pos.	Pos. Rank	School	Class	Ht.	Wt.	Proj. Round
11	*Logan Thomas	QB	3	Virginia Tech	rJr	6-6	260	1
18	*David Amerson	CB	2	North Carolina State	Jr	6-2	194	1
19	*Jackson Jeffcoat	DE	3	Texas	Jr	6-5	245	1
35	Alex Okafor	DE	5	Texas	Sr	6-5	265	1-2
36	Kawann Short	DT	5	Purdue	rSr	6-3	315	1-2
37	*Carrington Byndom	CB	4	Texas	Jr	6-0	180	1-2
41	Kenny Vaccaro	SS	1	Texas	Sr	6-1	218	2
49	*James Gayle	DE	8	Virginia Tech	rJr	6-4	268	2
58	Mike Glennon	QB	9	North Carolina State	rSr	6-5	232	2
93	Marcus Davis	WR	11	Virginia Tech	rSr	6-4	232	3
116	*C.J. Fiedorowicz	TE	3	Iowa	Jr	6-6	265	3-4
121	Micah Hyde	CB	13	Iowa	Sr	6-1	190	3-4

Week 3 College Scouting (Giants)

As always, Scout information from Chris Steuber at NFLDraftPro.com
Player information from Rob Rang at NFLDraftScout.com
TV Information from LSUFootball.net

Week	Visiting Team	Home Team	TV	TIME (EST)
3	Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	ESPNU	12:00 PM
3	Eastern Michigan	Purdue	BTN	12:00 PM
3	Northern Iowa	Iowa	BTN	3:30 PM
3	South Alabama	North Carolina State	ESPN3.COM	6:00 PM
3	Texas	Ole Miss	ESPN	9:15 PM
3	South Carolina State	Arizona	PAC12 NTWK	10:30 PM

Week 2 College Scouting (Giants)

Scouting information taken from Chris Steuber at NFLDraftPro.com (Link)
Rank information taken from Rob Rang at NFLDraftScout.com (Link)
Rank = Overall Rank, Pos Rank = Position Rank

Let's take a look at which games the Giants' scouts will be at for Week 2:

	Visiting Team	Home Team
	Maryland	Temple
	East Carolina	(9) South Carolina
	Southern Illinois	Miami (OH)
	Iowa State	Iowa
	Washington	(3)LSU
	(18) Oklahoma State	Arizona

And now some of the key players:

LSU

Rank	Player	Pos.	Pos. Rank	School	Class	Ht.	Wt.	Proj. Round
4	*Barkevious Mingo	OLB	1	LSU	rJr	6-4	240	1
6	*Sam Montgomery	DE	1	LSU	rJr	6-5	260	1
11	*Eric Reid	FS	1	LSU	Jr	6-2	212	1
50	*Tyrann Mathieu	CB	5	LSU	rJr	5-09	178	2
52	*Bennie Logan	DT	6	LSU	rJr	6-3	295	2
197	*Spencer Ware	RB	17	LSU	Jr	5-11	225	6
84	*Kevin Minter	ILB	6	LSU	rJr	6-1	245	2-3
104	Alex Hurst	OT	10	LSU	rSr	6-6	332	3-4
151	Russell Shepard	WR	18	LSU	Sr	6-0	195	4-5
213	Josh Downs	DT	19	LSU	Sr	6-1	288	6-7

2011 Giants' Scoring [By Touchdowns]

RUSH = Rushing TDs

REC = Receiving TDs

RET = Return TDs

All data taken from ESPN

2012 Giants' Salary Cap Breakdown

Note: Only the kicker and punter are included in Special Teams for logistical reasons.

          Base Salary + Bonuses = Salary Cap Hits

 

Base Salary

• The defensive side of the football will make 20% more than the offensive side of the football. However, according to the Football Outsiders' 2011 DVOA rankings, the offensive unit outperformed the defensive side. The offensive unit was ranked 7th in the league (15.6% DVOA), while the defensive unit was ranked 20th (6.9%). Special Teams was ranked 16th (0.3%). 

• Eight defensive players will make over $1M this year, while only six offensive players will make over $1M. Kicker Lawrence Tynes will make a bit over a $1.3 in base salary, while punter Steve Weatherford just signed a five-year, $12.75 million contract. The Giants clearly put an emphasis on Special Teams. 
• Out of 88 players on the current roster, only 14 will make over $1 million for the upcoming year. Or in other terms, just 16%.

 

Bonuses

• Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora will make $7.8 million of those $25 million in bonus money on defense. On the offensive side, Eli Manning will make the same amount ($7.8 M) by himself. 
• 10 of the players making over $1 million in bonus money will be on defense (60%), while only 6 will be on the offensive side. 
• An interesting note: 43% of the players making over $1 million while be players who line up on the line (DE, DT, C, G, T). 56% of them will be playmakers (LB, CB, S, WR, RB, QB). 

 

 

 

 

Salary Cap Hits

• The highest combined salaries on this upcoming year's defensive squad will be linebackers and defensive ends ($17 million each). On offense, it will be the the quarterback and his guards, $10 million each respectively.
• Five of the six positions on defense will make more than $10 million. As stated before defensive ends and linebackers lead the way with $17 million each, safeties will make $13 million combined, cornerbacks will make $11 million and defensive tackles will make a very respectable $10 million.
• Only $20 million of the $52 million will be going to the offensive line. With last year's woes at the position, you can see why the Giants have been trying to upgrade the unit. The addition of David Baas at the center position proved to be a good one. According to Football Outsiders, the veteran center only gave up 1.5 sacks in the regular season. David Diehl on the other hand gave up 6.5 sacks and managed to stay on the roster, while Kareem McKenzie gave up 5.5 sacks and was released. Diehl will rake in $2.7 million to protect Eli Manning's right side this year. 

Full Table after the jump

Giants' Salary Information (3.0)

Note: year to year salaries are just base salaries. No bonuses that a player has/will receive(d) are included. They are however included in the last column (2012 Cap Hits). Blanks just mean that the salary information has not yet been disclosed. Will update when I can.

Update 1: Added Salary Cap Number, Rollover, Updated Keith Rivers' Contract. 
Update 2: Added 2013 Cap Hits 
Update 3 (6/8/12): Osi's contract numbers added.
 

Information after the jump.

Offensive Personnel Infographic

All information taken from Football Outsiders (Here)
Definitions after the jump

Adjusted Line Yards Infographic

All data taken from Football Outsiders (here)  

Formulas from Football Outsiders after the jump.

2012 Draft Picks Statistical Data

Running Backs

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Rushes	Yards	Yards/Carry	TD	ADJ POE	HLT YARDS/CARRY
David Wilson	RB	5’10”/206lbs.	462	2662	5.7	18	13.7	2.97

Giants' Draft Board (Pre-Draft)

After compiling all the scouting information (see here), I began to wonder what a draft board would look like using just the players from the schools that the Giants' scouted. Using Rob Rang's rankings, I decided to make a tidy draft board for both the offensive and defensive side of the football. Please keep in mind that this draft board ONLY uses the information that I gathered. It is missing a  majority of the players that have entered the draft, but its a great way to narrow the amount down and see who the Giants could possibly like.

For rankings sake, I ranked the players with the most scouting visits higher than the ones with lesser visits.
For example, Baylor's Robert Griffin III was visited four times, compared to Stanford's Andrew Luck's one visit. Now this could also mean that the Giants' were scouting Baylor for another player, such as Kendall Wright, but for the sake of the rankings, I decided to put RGIII higher.

Row = Rounds.

Without further ado, the draft board. Click Sheet 2 for the defensive board.
UPDATE 1: Highlighted the players taken from Day 1.

Players who I think would be available at 63.
Round 2: Dwayne Allen, Brandon Thompson, Mohammed Sanu, Zach Brown, Chris Givens, Brandon Brooks,

Chris Givens and the Giants?

So I took the college data from the wide receivers that the Giants have drafted, averaged it out, and Chris Givens from Wake Forest gives us the best match. The numbers are almost identical.
A match made in heaven.

He projects anywhere from a 3rd round to 6th round draft pick. Going by his numbers alone, we can tell that Givens was a deep ball threat, and was pretty successful at it. This would be a good value pick by the G-Men.


Scouting Reports:

National Football Post

A productive underclassman who declared early after finishing the 2011 season with over 1,300 receiving yards. Possesses average size for the position with solid musculature through his upper body. Exhibits average quickness off the line vs. press coverage. Knows how to set up his outside release with a sudden jab step inside. However, isn't real physical and doesn't use his hands real well to keep himself clean. Will get caught skipping off the line and when asked to absorb a bump seems to get slowed off the line and re-routes a bit on his outside release, looking to run around the bump instead of trying to slip it or fight through it. However, exhibits a good first step and reaches top end speed vertically, quickly. Isn't a burner, looks like a 4.5 guy, but has a slight second gear tacking the football and excellent body control when asked to go up and adjust to the throw. His body control and awareness around the sideline is very impressive, the way he focuses on the football, feels his sideline and can still get his feet in bounds. Looks very comfortable contorting his body and coming down with some tough grabs.

Looks natural running the vertical route tree, stems his route well, sells his shoulder fake and is sharp/explosive to the post. Has the ability to create a burst out of his breaks, keep his feet under him and accelerate toward the open field. Showcases some suddenness as a route runner as well. Exhibits a snap to his game out of his breaks with the balance/body control to be clean on sharply breaking routes and stop on a dime working the come back. Needs to do a better job plucking the football off his frame though. Too often lets throws get into his body which negates the time he has to adjust, collect himself and than create after the catch.

Showcases the quickness/fluidity to make a man miss after the catch. Isn't' overly physical and isn't a big time tackle breaker. However, can be creative with the ball in his hands, make a man miss and accelerate.

Impression: He's a coordinated route runner who can adjust to the football and has enough speed to go down the field. However, he's not overly quick, powerful or fast. Looks like a low-end starter at best who would likely be better served to play inside in sub package situations.

Mocking The Draft

Strengths: Quick and gets up to speed in a hurry. Shows good speed after the catch. Good route runner. Doesn’t take a wasted step and runs sharp routes. Agile enough to make defenders miss after the catch. Does a good job adjusting to poor throws.
Weaknesses: Doesn’t have good size and will need to get stronger. Tends to be slow off the line and will get jammed. Body catches too often. Profiles as a No. 3 receiver in the NFL who will run quick routes inside.
Combine quotable: (On beating press coverage) I feel like I can do fairly well, coaching and working hard, that's something I've been focusing on now. I have a pretty good amount of time before first preseason game with training camp and all that, I feel like working hard and working with a coach, I'll be ready to go.

Gushing about Demaryius Thomas and Inquiring about Stephen Hill

Two Georgia Tech wide receivers in the past couple of years were drafted in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. They are: Calvin Johnson (2007), Demaryius Thomas (2010), and now Stephen Hill could be going in the first round in 2012. Johnson played in a "pro-style" offense while under Chan Gailey. Thomas and Hill have both played in a Option-Flexbone style offense under Paul Johnson.

 More graphs and analysis after the jump.

2012 Wide Receiver Draft Data Dump Extravaganza!

SB Nation's Bill C. was gracious enough to post wide receiver data from the 2005-2011 seasons. I went through and picked the WRs who are projected to go in the top four rounds (according to Rob Rang at NFLDraftScout.com). I will go more in depth in a bit.

Bill C's data can be be found here
My spreadsheet is here

The Target % is an average of all three (or four) years. Currently working on something to try to get the actual Target %.

Spreadsheet after the jump!

Why Boley will play the Mike in 2012

Lets get straight to the photo evidence. These stills are taken from the Week 9 game vs. the Patriots. I'm still a bit iffy on the fronts, because i'm not sure how they specifically determine strength. A lot of the personnel on the field is Big Nic personnel, however, they still align in 4-3 Over/Under fronts.

4-3 Over

4-3 Under

 More "evidence" after the jump.

Giants' Salary Information

Note: year to year salaries are just base salaries. No bonuses that a player has/will receive(d) are included. They are however included in the last column (2012 Cap Hits). Blanks just mean that the salary information has not yet been disclosed. Will update when I can.

Thoughts:
In 2013, the Giants will only have 28 players under contract for a total of $72.6M. This is just base salary. To compare to the current year, the Giants have 65 players under contract for a total of $83,927,486.00. Again this is just base salary. This is a difference of $11.3M and 37 players. I have not taken a look at what those 28 players in 2013 will make in bonuses, but if you thought money was tight this year, wait 'til next year.

Update 1: Added Salary Cap Number, Rollover, Updated Keith Rivers' Contract. 
Update 2: Added 2013 Cap Hits 
Update 3 (6/8/12): Osi's contract numbers added.
 

Information after the jump.

Predictions! Predictions! Predictions!

-- Darker lines indicate actual numbers, lighter lines = Expected
All Data taken from Pro Football Reference
Predictions made using Exp. Growth formula. 

More after the jump.

Preview of Predictions

Using Exponential Growth Forumulas

Giants' Scouting Information

During the college football season, Chris Steuber compiles a list of which team's scouts attend which college games according to his sources. I've gone through all of his tweets during this college football season and complied a nice table and a graph detailing whom the Giants scouted.

Disclaimer: Please don't take this as gospel. Most pro football teams scout every single major conference game and almost all teams are at all "big games." I also left off the schools where a team was just scouted once.
Table after the jump.